Last night I lost at DFS hockey again, $2 dollars spent on two $1 contests. One contest was a double up, and another contest was a 3 – 100 player contest. Tonight I’m going to play a $1 51 entry GPP where the top 16 (top 31% of entries) pays out.
I don’t think any of my goalies has won a game, which in some cases would have pushed me into the money. I’ve got to get better at tracking results in a standardized way, so that I can evaluate what I’m doing more rigorously.
This is my strategy so far:
- pick a starting goalie from a game that I will watch
- bet $1 against the opposite team of my goalie
- list three games with the highest chances of going over the most goals, and restrict my players to those games
- download the players list from FanDuel into excel
- remove/hide the columns for ID, first name, last name, and the column for each individual team
- make data a table
- remove all injured players
- create new column to calculate price/FPPG
- calculate and sort by price/FPPG
- remove all games except the three most likely to go over
- calculate the average games played, and remove all players with less than average
- draft players starting from lowest price/FGGP until a team can be drafted
- filter out any players with less than 70% of the average salary remaining after drafting a goalie
- skip players after you’ve filled their position
- for the final pick, skip all players whose price is higher than what’s left to draft
This basic strategy fills a lineup.
My results after last 2 entries:
DraftKings 0
FanDuel -$2.00
Hedging $0
Total -$2.00
Overall:
DraftKings +$0.80
FanDuel -$6.00
Hedging +$2.11
Total -$3.09
To do’s for next game:
- write a macro to do the filtering with a spreadsheet
