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Derivatives

How to price CoinRoster bitcoin pools

October 31, 2017RiskingTime

This post will describe how to use binary options to estimate the odds of a pari-mutuel pool. Friends of mine run a fantasy sports site called CoinRoster where they host pari-mutuel pools on a variety of topics including the bitcoin… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives, Exchange Betting, Gambling bitcoin, btc, btcbetting, coinroster

CME to launch bitcoin contracts

October 31, 2017RiskingTime

Very exciting news from CME today, they plan to launch bitcoin futures contracts in Q4 2017! If it comes true, I think this would be one of the most dramatic events in the history of crypto currencies. Having a transparent… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives bitcoin, btc, cme

Deribit Suffers Loss – Remains Solvent

September 19, 2017RiskingTime

Deribit recently announced they have suffered losses due to liquidations triggered by margin calls. Essentially what happened was as the market prices changed, margin calls and forced liquidations were triggered, and the market did not have enough liquidity to fill… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives bitcoin, bitcoins, btc, crypto, cryptocredit, deribit, derivatives, eth

Crypto Credit Events

August 29, 2017RiskingTime

Crypto currencies, such as bitcoin and ethereum, are growing rapidly and the opportunities for profit are enormous. But these markets are also highly risky and investors using crypto currencies shoulder this risk. The situation should make risk management a main… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives, Investing, Risk

Bitcoin Core/Unlimited Risk Management & Probabilities

June 27, 2017RiskingTime

Bitcoin holders are keeping an eye on a potential fork that will create “Bitcoin Unlimited“, a proposed new chain that will solve some perceived shortcomings with the current bitcoin “core” network. Bitcoins have the largest market cap of any crypto… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives bcc, bcu, bitcoins, btc, btcunlimited

Bitcoin ETF Rejected

March 11, 2017RiskingTime

The reasons why the SEC denied the request are vague and arbitrary. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-10/sec-rejects-bitcoin-etf-setting-digital-currency-up-for-big-drop

Bitcoin, Derivatives bitcoin

Bitcoin ETF Likely Approved?

March 10, 2017RiskingTime

Trading on Bitmex implied odds now trading over 50%, and the price of bitcoins versus the USD spike today. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-bitcoin-etf-winklevoss-idUSKBN16F2SD

Bitcoin, Derivatives bitcoinETF, bitcoins, Winklevoss

Bitcoin ETF Odds

March 8, 2017RiskingTime

After many failed attempts, the SEC has said it will issue a decision on the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust by March 11th. Some estimates have the decision being released on the following Monday. BitMEX recently launched a futures contract that allows investors to… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives bitcoin ETF, COIN odds, Winklevoss bitcoin etf, Winklevoss bitcoin odds, Winklevoss bitcoins, Winklevoss ETF

Price of a Binary Option

January 29, 2017RiskingTime 1 Comment

Consider an underlying price of 918. You are presented with the choice of buying or selling a European binary call option with 1 day till expiration and a strike price of 918 (i.e. at the money). The 30 day historical volatility… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives, Exchange Betting, Investing, Risk binary options

CME Bitcoin Reference Rate Review

January 12, 2017RiskingTime

The CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR) and CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) are standardized reference rates and spot price indexes with independent oversight managed by CME Group that were launched on November 14, 2016. Several bitcoin exchanges… Continue Reading →

Bitcoin, Derivatives bitcoin derivatives, bitcoins

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